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Picking Against The Spread: Week 3

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Game

Spread

Pick

Info
Texas Tech at Texas Christian

TCU -3½

TCU

TCU has beaten the spread in 22 of its last 25 on the road.  Gary Patterson fires up the defense, halting the TTU air raid.  TCU wins by more than 10.
Troy at Arkansas State

ASU -10½

Troy

Arkansas State is 12-1 against the spread in its last 13 games at home, but Troy’s defense overcomes a little.  Arkansas State gets the win, but Troy takes the pick.
Air Force at Boise State

Boise -23

Air Force

Boise was unimpressive against Washington.  Despite 23-2 against the spread in the last 25, Broncos don’t score enough and Air Force option kills clock.  Boise wins, but Air Force is the pick.
#13 Stanford at Army

Stan -28½

Stanford

Army has been under the spread in the four of the last five.  Stanford shuts out the knights and gets a big win to Oregonize.
#4 Louisville at Kentucky

UL -12½

Louisville

Louisville is 13-2 against the spread in the last 15, but more importantly Kentucky’s defense surrendered 35 to Western Kentucky.  Louisville wins 45-27.
Akron at #8 Michigan

Mich -36½

Michigan

Akron has been under the spread in the last five games and Michigan has already slaughtered a better MAC team in Central Michigan.  Michigan scores over fifty to beat the spread.
Louisiana-Monroe at Wake Forest

Wake -3

ULM

Monroe beats Wake Forest in a game I wanted to pick just because even though it has no real interest.  Wake has been under its spread in 8 of the last 9.
#7 Alabama at #5 Texas A&M

Tide -9

T A&M

Ca$h and company not only beat the spread, but are able to pull out a win at home against the horrendous Tide offense.  Both teams are 5-0 against the spread in the last 5.  Texas A&M wins 33-21
Tennessee at #2 Oregon

UO -25½

Oregon

The Ducks are 17-1 against the spread in the last 18…and that includes some gaudy spreads including beating a 58½ week 1 this year.  Toughest test yet, but Oregon wins 56-21
Nevada at #10 Florida State

FSU -32

Nevada

I like the Seminoles and I think they will win big, but Jameis doesn’t play in the second half and the Wolfpack put up a few tuddies against the second team.  FSU wins 42-17.
#9 Washington versus Illinois

Wash -10½

Wash

The Illini had an inspiriting performance against Cincy last week where the Bearcats were actually giving a huge spread.  Washington does not under sell Illinois, after all, the Illini have been over its spread in 4 of the last 6.
Vanderbilt at South Carolina

USC -12½

S. Car.

Gamecocks play angry after loss to Georgia and Clowney has first decent game of the season.  South Carolina is undefeated in last 5 at home against the spread.
West. Michigan at #14 Northwestern

NW -31½

NW

The Wildcats are 5-0 in last 5 against the spread and Western Michigan has been under in 4 of last 5.  Broncos lost to Nicholls State.  NW is looking ahead to Ohio State yet, wins big, and gets the pick.
#16 Wisconsin at Arizona State

ASU -5½

Arizona St.

ASU is 4-1 in last 5 against the spread.  Wisconsin has gone over in 4 of last 5 when the underdog on the road…nonetheless, Wisconsin is finally exposed and Arizona State gets the win and the pick.

Spreads taken from OddsShark.com

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