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Picks Against the Spread: Week 8

RT16

Game Spread Pick Info
#15 Georgia @ Vanderbilt Georgia -7.0 Georgia Georgia might be neutered by injuries, but the Dawgs should still be a good enough team to beat a so-so Vandy team by more than a tuddy.  Georgia might be 1-5 against the spread this year, but Vandy is 1-4-1…so there’s that.
#13 South Carolina @ Tennessee S. Car -7.0 Tennessee Tennessee is 3-3 against the spread this year, but is 2-1 as an underdog and 2-0 against the SEC.  South Carolina is on upset alert as the Gamecocks are only 2-4 against the spread.
#12 Louisville vs Central Florida UL -12.5 Central Florida I think Louisville gets a close win, but Central Florida gets the check.  The Cards better be caustious, these Knights just played a tight game against the ‘ol Ball Coach and is hawt.  UCF is 4-1 against the spread…although 0-1 in conference.
#11 UCLA @ Stanford Stan -5.5 UCLA Stanford gets the win, but a final somewhere around 31-28 or 35-31 keeps this game under the spread.  UCLA has not lost against the spread this year (4-0-1) and the Cardinal are not exactly on fire with spread losses to Washington and Utah in the last two weeks.
#10 Texas A&M vs Auburn A&M -13.0 Texas A&M Aggies are going to whomp Auburn in College Station this week, mark my words.  Jonny Ca$h is going to lay the hammer and have an absolutely Heismanberg performance.  A&M’s defense makes it hard to take the Aggies against any spread, but the offense is good enough to beat Auburn by 14 or more.
#9 Miami Florida @ North Carolina The U -8.5 The U Miami only a 8.5 point favorite at a plummeting 1-4 North Carolina team?  UNC is only 1-4 against the spread…and that one win was their one win and the only game they were favorited against this season.
#8 Missouri vs Florida UF -3.5 Missouri The higher ranked team at home is a dog?  Well, look at it this way, Mizzou, you aren’t alone this week as UCLA, Washington, and Clemson join you as higher ranked underdogs.  Florida has loads of trouble scoring and Mizzou was able to engineer a tought tuddy with the backup in last week.  I have confidence in the Tigers to get the win and the check.
#7 Baylor vs Iowa State Baylor -34.0 Baylor Tough not to see the Bears offense torching a terrible Iowa State defense.  As a +20 favorite, Baylor is 4-0 against the spread.  Baylor’s only spread loss came last week in an offensive breakdown against Kansas State.
#6 Clemson vs #4 Florida State FSU -3.0 Florida State I’m thinking Florida State has a really good chance to roll.  Florida State the last two weeks has smoked Maryland and had a bye.  Clemson is only 3-3 against the spread.  Vic Beasley is the big difference maker.  If he puts pressure on Famous Jameis, I could be wrong.
#5 Ohio State vs Iowa OSU -17.0 OSU The Bucks giving 17 at home against Iowa seems like a bad joke.  People probably refer to the inability to send Wisconsin to the abyss after taking a 31-14 lead and the “bad” win against Northwestern.  Urban Meyer knows his team needs to slaughter from here on out and it starts with the bloodletting against Iowa this week.
#3 Alabuhmuh vs Arkansas Buhmuh-28 Buhmuh Tough times continue for the Pigs.  The dismantling at the hands of South Carolina probably added 10 or so points to this spread and made life harder for the likes of me.  Buhmuh might shut out the Pigs and even though I distrust the offense, A.J.T.J. should be able to put up at least 31 or so.
#2 Lousiana State @ Ole Miss LSU -8.0 LSU Ole Miss had its offense shut down by Alabuhmuh a few weeks back.  No one is mistaking LSU’s defense for Buhmuh’s, but the Tigers have the talent on both sides of the ball to win by 3+ touchdowns.
#1 Oregon versus Washington State Ore -38.5 Oregon Washington State can score…will they score against Oregon?  Probably not enough.  The Ducks are undefeated against the spread this season.  Pretty much just pick with Oregon on the spread until proven otherwise because 5 of 6 spreads have been 29+ and Oregon hasn’t blinked.

Other Games of Interest

Minnesota @ Northwestern NW -12.5 Northwestern The Wildcats need to take care of business this week.  Minnesota visiting Evanston gives the Wildcats a good chance to bounce back.  Northwestern is only 1-3 against the spread at home…but it’s Minnesota and 12.5 points.
TCU @ Oklahoma State Okla St. -7.0 Okie State I’d rather get cavities filled than have to pick an Oklahoma State game.  The Cowboys have only lost one game, but that West Virginia debachle was enough to make every doubter audible…however, I don’t think TCU is very good this year and 7 is not exactly a mountain of points.
Indiana @ Michigan Mich -7.5 Indiana I brought up how hilarious some of Michigan’s spreads have been since the Akron loss when the Wolvs played Connecticut a few weeks back.  You’re probably curious, loyal reader, Mich is 3-3 versus the spread as is Indiana.
BYU @ Houston BYU -10 Houston I thought the o/u for this game could be huge, but it’s only 63.5.  Houston is 5-0 against the spread this season…not to mention 5-0 this season.  Nothing suggests too highly Houston should even lose this game.  Cougars take it to the Mormons.
Washington @ Arizona State ASU -3.0 Washington Washington is going to win this game.  The Huskies are my darlings and I must believe in them until the bitter end when they play in the Pacific Life Holiday Bowl later this season.
USC @ Notre Dame ND -3.0 USC The Irish are 0-4-1 against the spread as a favorite…but 1-0 as a dog.  This week…they’re a favorite.  I don’t think USC is bad enough to have gotten Lane Kiffin fired, and they’ll prove it when they force Tommy Turnover into three turnovers.

Upset Alert:

Louisville versus Central Florida

and

South Carolina @ Tennessee

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