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Picks Against the Spread: Week 15


Game Spread Pick Info
#16 Central Florida @ SMU Even UCF I’m not really too hyped about UCF at this point.  There is good news and bad news for Cincinnati natives like myself: if UCF loses and Cincy wins the Bearcats are going to a BCS Bowl!  How neat is that?  UCF is now 7-4 against the spread on the year.  All four of those loses have come as a double figure favorite and UCF is 2-0 as a dog or even spread…so why not?  It’s almost like win-win.
#13 Michigan State vs #2 Ohio State Bucks -5.5 OSU I picked against MSU last week and won, right?  Michigan State is 7-4-1 against the spread this year.  The one tie came in the Spartans only loss…I don’t think it is possible to tie a spread on a half, so I’m just rounding up to taking the Bucks.  Ohio State has lost the last 3 against the spread this year, but I have confidence the explosive offense will trump the MSU defense much like OSU defense was often thumped by SEC schools in the past.
#11 Baylor vs Texas Baylor -15 Texas So it would seem Baylor has fallen into the same soul trap as Oregon.  The loss hangover has the Bears forgetting their identity.  Well, just in time for a Texas team which still has an outside shot at the BCS Bowl berth should they beat Baylor and Okie State loses.  Baylor has the same shot if they win….basically both teams are weirdly fond of Oklahoma this week.
#10 Mizzeruh vs #T3 Auburn Aub -2.0 Mizzou So you want to play for a National Title, do you?  I’m picking the Tigers to pull off a minor league upset.  The talk around the nation has Auburn more concerned with the polls and Ohio State than Missouri…and I’m just also not convinced with this Auburn team; after all, they’re a couple of miracles away from a possible 9-3 record.  These are both huge surprises, but someone’s magical season has to end and Auburn has used up most of its good fortune.
#9 Stanford @ #8 Arizona State ASU -3.0 Push I have no idea if I’m allowed to push, but I am.  It gives me one helluva lot less chance of being right, but I’m honestly taking Arizona State (to quote my good friend Lee Corso) by a field goal.  Stanford pummeled ASU in Palo Alto earlier this year, but not so fast my friend.  Arizona State has been has had a little luck at home this year…ask Wisconsin.
#7 Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma Okie St. -9.5 Okie State Okie State is 8-2 against the spread and a miscellaneous unregistered spread against UTSA.  They haven’t lost since Kansas State in week 6.  Oklahoma isn’t very good.  The clear pick is Oklahoma State much to the chagrin of Baylor and Texas.
#1 Florida State vs Duke FSU -29 Duke Since I’m not a soft ass b***h, I made this pick Terrelle Pryor to the announcement about Jameis Winston tomorrow…but picked Duke anyway.  Florida State should roll Duke, hence a 29 point spread in conference championship game, but I don’t think Duke will go down without a fight…Florida State has lost against the spread in perhaps the most unlikely game this year: Boston College…aside from that they haven’t though.

Every Other Game


Game Spread Pick Info
Louisville @ Cincinnati UL -3.5 Louisville I’m not taking the time to stat check all these games.  Louisville should be a far better team than a UC squad which was Scheelhaased earlier this year.
Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois n. IL -3.5 N. Illinois Jordan Lynch for Heisman?  Pending Jameis Winston’s status as a raper.
Marshall vs Rice Marsh -4.5 Rice I have a very, very, very, very, very, very weak connection to Rice: a girl who is one of my friends has knows a guy who is studying there to be a doctor and I talked to him on the phone while drunk once…Go Owls!
Memphis @ UConn Even Memphis This is about the saddest game I’ve seen since Texans-Jaguars on Thursday Night Football…who ever though the Jags would be considered the trendy pick in that puppy?
South Florida @ Rutgers Rutgers -6.0 Rutgers As a future Big Ten member, you’d better be able to squash South Florida into the ground, Rutgers.  If not, I’ll throw basketballs at your players again.
Lafayette @ South Buhmuh USA -3.0 ULL You’re putting the spread against my boys the Cajun Cajuns?  I’m going to have to have words with this spread creator.
Utah State @ Fresno State Fresno -3.0 Fresno I have a hard time picking against one of my most favorite named Quarterbacks Chuckie Keeton, but it’s just that Fresno State is more than three points better than Utah State.

Picks Against the Spread: Week 14


Game Spread Pick Info
#16 South Carolina vs #5 Clemson S. Car. -5.0 Clemson The Tigers picked me up a win against THE CITADEL WHICH IS THE BEST TEAM EVER SO WHY WOULDN’T THEY BEAT THE SPREAD CeAGAINST THE MEASLY GAMECOCKS?
#15 Central Florida vs South Florida UCF -27.0 UCF UCF quick facts: 7-3 against the spread.  All three losses have come as a double figure favorite (Memphis, Houston, Temple).  The Knights beat a 17.5 spread against Rutgers last night.  South Florida is terrible.
#14 Mizzeruh vs #12 Texas A&M Mizzou -4.5 Texas A&M I’m taking the points.  I’m not sure if I feel Johnny Ca$h and company can take down Mizzeruh, but I just have to believe in my main man.  Missouri has way more motivation in this game.  Here are the facts: A&M is 5-6 against the spread, Mizzeruh is 8-2-1 versus the spread and 6-1 against the SEC, and Mizzeruh’s two spread losses are as a home favorite.
#13 Michigan State vs Minnesota MSU -14.5 Minn. I’m extremely nervous about picking against Michigan State.  The Spartans are 7-3-1 against the spread; however, they lost their only Big Ten spread when favored by more than 10 against Purdue.
#11 Louisiana State vs arKANSAS LSU -24.5 LSU I’ve picked against arKANSAS each time I’ve seen them play.  And I’m 3-0.  Hoorah.  My only concern is the SEX-iest conference playing a game before Saturday, but I guess this is Thanksgiving week and all so we’ll let them slide and keep considering them a real conference.
#10 Oregon vs Oregon State Oregon -23.0 Oregon St. This is the first time I’ve picked against the Ducks this season.  The Beavers have an explosive offense and should be able to keep up and keep it close.  Ducks get the win, but the Beavers get the check against Big Brother in the 2013 edition of Civil War.
#9 Arizona State vs Arizona ASU -10.5 ASU I picked against both of these teams, normally Pac-12 mediocre squads.  This year, both have been impressive at times and Arizona State CONTROLS ITS OWN DESTINY for the Pac-12 Championship Game.  No reason to think the motivation, home field advantage, and talent on Arizona State’s side keeps the game within two scores.
#8 Stanford vs Notre Dame Stan -14.5 Notre Dame I don’t think Notre Dame is very good, but 14.5 is just a huge spread for a rivalry game of this magnitude.  Even in years when one team has appeared out-matched, the academic battle royale seems to always be close.  Stanford gets the win, but I’m throwing away the points.
#7 Baylor @ TCU Baylor -13.0 Baylor I don’t really know who wouldn’t take these points.  It reminds me of the Oregon spread against Utah following the loss to Stanford…wait, Oregon is 0-3 in the last three against the spread?  They haven’t won since that depressing loss in Palo Alto?  Well then, maybe I should take the horned frogs……..nope.
#4 Auburn vs #2 Buhmuh Buhmuh -10.5 Auburn 10.5 in this edition of the Iron Bowl seems like a helluva lot, doesn’t it?  I mean this is supposed to be the biggest and most important game of the entire college football season.  Auburn had a bye week to prepare, has the type of offense that Buhmuh and Nick Saban hate to play against, and have so much fire/emotion following the epic win over Georgia.  I’m not saying Auburn wins, I’m just saying this one will likely come down to the wire.
#3 Ohio State @ M*#%*!&n Bucks -16 Ohio State You didn’t think an OSU alum would pick Michigan, did you?  I wouldn’t call myself entirely bias, but I’m definitely not a Kirk Herbstreit type who feels favoring his alma mater is the biggest crime this side of the equator.  Michigan has a lot of problems, namely running and throwing the ball on offense.  Ohio State should be able to put up as many points as Urban Meyer feels necessary.  We’ll see what happens.
#1 Florida State vs Florida FSU -27.5 Florida I actually care who Florida State is playing.  Florida at home, in this rivalry, Will Muschamp needing a saving grace for the season?  It’s tough to see the Gators not giving it their all and even having a punchers chance as the clock nears 00:00.

Picks Against the Spread: Week 13


Game Spread Pick Info
#16 Michigan State @ Northwestern MSU -7 Sparta! Michigan State is 6-3-1 against the spread this season and that tie resulted in the team’s only loss this season.  Michigan State has never lost a spread when favored by less than 10 points.  Northwestern has been falling harder than Jake Lloyd’s film career.  MSU has shown it can score a little bit as of late and I think they’ll only need 21 or so to beat this spread.
#15 Central Florida vs Rutgers UCF -17.5 UCF Despite my UCF pick losing to Temple against the spread last week, I also watched Rutgers get absolutely pounded by a very average Cincinnati team.  It really took me back to Cincinnati getting Scheelhaased in week 2.  UCF is still 6-3 against the spread, although all three losses have come as double figure favorites (Memphis, Houston, Temple)
#14 LSU vs #8 Texas A&M LSU -4.5 Texas A&M I’ll definitely throw away the four and half on this one.  LSU allowed Buhmuh to hang a 38 spot on the scoreboard, so there is no reason to expect Johnny Ca$h to put up less…the biggest x-factor is how many points can America’s third favorite fast food restaurant chain put up for his own team against the lackluster A&M defense…my brain thingy tells me not enough.
#13 Oklahoma State vs #5 Baylor Baylor -10.0 Okie State I’m not even sure who to pick in this one…this is a really tough spread for this game, so Vegas did its M.F. job.  It should be really high scoring which will always favor Baylor, but this is the first test for the Bears on the road.  Something smells a little fishy, but I think Baylor pulls out the win….Okie State gets the check.
#12 Mizzeruh @ Ole Miss Mizzou -2.5 Mizzou It obviously doesn’t, but to me a spread of -2.5 or less is asking “Do you think this team will win the game?”  I know teams can win by 1 or 2, but I just feel it doesn’t happen very often.  I can probably get the Elias Sports Bureau to help me out, but if Pollack won’t respond to me, why should they?  I think Mizzeruh will win, so the Tigers get the check.
#11 Stanford vs California Stan -31.5 Cal I’m throwing the points simply because that number is huge for the trees results so far this season.  If this was Oregon or UCLA or even Washington I’d probably take the points, but for Stanford to beat Cal by 32 or more seems a little much at this point.  California may be 2-5-2 against the spread, but all the wins/ties have come as huge underdogs.
#10 Wisconsin @ Minnesota Wisc -16.0 Minnesota I guess I haven’t fully learned my lesson for the Badgers.  They annihilated Indiana as I expect last week, but something smells a little bit like the hospital waiting room…that’s terrible.  I won’t say the Badgers will Jerry Kill the Gophers, but I do believe Wisconsin gets the win…Minnesota gets the check.
#9 UCLA vs Arizona State ASU -2.5 UCLA I didn’t put the Bruins at #9 this year with the expectation that they would lose this home game to Arizona State. The Bruins and Arizona State have that same unrivaled motivation of being the lucky Pac-12 South team to lose to Oregon in the Miss Congeniality of Conference Championship Games.  UCLA gets the win and therefore the check.
#7 Clemson vs The Citadel Clem -40 Clemson After watching Clemson light up the scoreboard against Ga-Tech, it is difficult not to see them putting up at least 56 on THE BEST TEAM EVER THE CITADEL IS SO AWESOME AND I WANT TO PICK THEM SO BAD BUT I JUST FEEL THAT 40 IS NOT ENOUGH POINTS FOR ME TO DO SO BUT I STILL LOVE YOU CITADEL!
#4 Oregon @ Arizona Oreg -20.5 Oregon I don’t really feel confident ever picking against Oregon and a sub-21 spread makes me almost feel a little nauseous…although Rich Rodriguez is the embodiment of everything evil in this world so we can’t be sure he won’t use his black witchcraft magical nonsense to beat this measly spread…where am I?
#3 Ohio State vs Indiana Bucks -34.0 Indiana Having been in Columbus I’ve heard it all week from both the television (my only real friend outside my laptop) and word of mouth: “[insert phony ESPN analyst here] is saying Ohio State is slipping and is going to lose to Indiana this week”.  Well, as the Bucks proved, this team isn’t Penn State.  I take Indiana against the spread only because I don’t think the Bucks will win by thirty-four…the cruise to a 28 point victory and ESPN calls it “surviving”.
#2 Buhmuh vs Chattanooga Buhmuh -49 Chattanooga Buhmuh takes it easy and A.J.T.J. and company are pulled at halftime.  The Tide win 42-0.
#1 Florida State vs somebody FSU -N FSU I still do not care who Florida State is playing.

Other Games of Interest:

Coastal Car. @ South Carolina S. Car. -34.5 Coastal South Carolina is going to win the game and we all know it, but Coastal Carolina is one of the finest 1-AA teams and as we’ve seen some of these teams are better than the middle of the pack 1-A teams.  Plus, the mascot for Coastal Carolina is everyone’s favorite rooster from the Canterbury Tales.
BYU @ Notre Dame EVEN BYU What if I told you that all of Notre Dame’s losses have come at home?  I’d be lying, but I know they got stomped by a mediocre Oklahoma team in South Bend and lost to an atrocious Pitt team a few weeks back somewhere.  I think that was in Pittsburgh…I really don’t remember.  I just like the opportunity to get a straight up pick on this game.



Picks Against the Spread: Week 8


Game Spread Pick Info
#15 Georgia @ Vanderbilt Georgia -7.0 Georgia Georgia might be neutered by injuries, but the Dawgs should still be a good enough team to beat a so-so Vandy team by more than a tuddy.  Georgia might be 1-5 against the spread this year, but Vandy is 1-4-1…so there’s that.
#13 South Carolina @ Tennessee S. Car -7.0 Tennessee Tennessee is 3-3 against the spread this year, but is 2-1 as an underdog and 2-0 against the SEC.  South Carolina is on upset alert as the Gamecocks are only 2-4 against the spread.
#12 Louisville vs Central Florida UL -12.5 Central Florida I think Louisville gets a close win, but Central Florida gets the check.  The Cards better be caustious, these Knights just played a tight game against the ‘ol Ball Coach and is hawt.  UCF is 4-1 against the spread…although 0-1 in conference.
#11 UCLA @ Stanford Stan -5.5 UCLA Stanford gets the win, but a final somewhere around 31-28 or 35-31 keeps this game under the spread.  UCLA has not lost against the spread this year (4-0-1) and the Cardinal are not exactly on fire with spread losses to Washington and Utah in the last two weeks.
#10 Texas A&M vs Auburn A&M -13.0 Texas A&M Aggies are going to whomp Auburn in College Station this week, mark my words.  Jonny Ca$h is going to lay the hammer and have an absolutely Heismanberg performance.  A&M’s defense makes it hard to take the Aggies against any spread, but the offense is good enough to beat Auburn by 14 or more.
#9 Miami Florida @ North Carolina The U -8.5 The U Miami only a 8.5 point favorite at a plummeting 1-4 North Carolina team?  UNC is only 1-4 against the spread…and that one win was their one win and the only game they were favorited against this season.
#8 Missouri vs Florida UF -3.5 Missouri The higher ranked team at home is a dog?  Well, look at it this way, Mizzou, you aren’t alone this week as UCLA, Washington, and Clemson join you as higher ranked underdogs.  Florida has loads of trouble scoring and Mizzou was able to engineer a tought tuddy with the backup in last week.  I have confidence in the Tigers to get the win and the check.
#7 Baylor vs Iowa State Baylor -34.0 Baylor Tough not to see the Bears offense torching a terrible Iowa State defense.  As a +20 favorite, Baylor is 4-0 against the spread.  Baylor’s only spread loss came last week in an offensive breakdown against Kansas State.
#6 Clemson vs #4 Florida State FSU -3.0 Florida State I’m thinking Florida State has a really good chance to roll.  Florida State the last two weeks has smoked Maryland and had a bye.  Clemson is only 3-3 against the spread.  Vic Beasley is the big difference maker.  If he puts pressure on Famous Jameis, I could be wrong.
#5 Ohio State vs Iowa OSU -17.0 OSU The Bucks giving 17 at home against Iowa seems like a bad joke.  People probably refer to the inability to send Wisconsin to the abyss after taking a 31-14 lead and the “bad” win against Northwestern.  Urban Meyer knows his team needs to slaughter from here on out and it starts with the bloodletting against Iowa this week.
#3 Alabuhmuh vs Arkansas Buhmuh-28 Buhmuh Tough times continue for the Pigs.  The dismantling at the hands of South Carolina probably added 10 or so points to this spread and made life harder for the likes of me.  Buhmuh might shut out the Pigs and even though I distrust the offense, A.J.T.J. should be able to put up at least 31 or so.
#2 Lousiana State @ Ole Miss LSU -8.0 LSU Ole Miss had its offense shut down by Alabuhmuh a few weeks back.  No one is mistaking LSU’s defense for Buhmuh’s, but the Tigers have the talent on both sides of the ball to win by 3+ touchdowns.
#1 Oregon versus Washington State Ore -38.5 Oregon Washington State can score…will they score against Oregon?  Probably not enough.  The Ducks are undefeated against the spread this season.  Pretty much just pick with Oregon on the spread until proven otherwise because 5 of 6 spreads have been 29+ and Oregon hasn’t blinked.

Other Games of Interest

Minnesota @ Northwestern NW -12.5 Northwestern The Wildcats need to take care of business this week.  Minnesota visiting Evanston gives the Wildcats a good chance to bounce back.  Northwestern is only 1-3 against the spread at home…but it’s Minnesota and 12.5 points.
TCU @ Oklahoma State Okla St. -7.0 Okie State I’d rather get cavities filled than have to pick an Oklahoma State game.  The Cowboys have only lost one game, but that West Virginia debachle was enough to make every doubter audible…however, I don’t think TCU is very good this year and 7 is not exactly a mountain of points.
Indiana @ Michigan Mich -7.5 Indiana I brought up how hilarious some of Michigan’s spreads have been since the Akron loss when the Wolvs played Connecticut a few weeks back.  You’re probably curious, loyal reader, Mich is 3-3 versus the spread as is Indiana.
BYU @ Houston BYU -10 Houston I thought the o/u for this game could be huge, but it’s only 63.5.  Houston is 5-0 against the spread this season…not to mention 5-0 this season.  Nothing suggests too highly Houston should even lose this game.  Cougars take it to the Mormons.
Washington @ Arizona State ASU -3.0 Washington Washington is going to win this game.  The Huskies are my darlings and I must believe in them until the bitter end when they play in the Pacific Life Holiday Bowl later this season.
USC @ Notre Dame ND -3.0 USC The Irish are 0-4-1 against the spread as a favorite…but 1-0 as a dog.  This week…they’re a favorite.  I don’t think USC is bad enough to have gotten Lane Kiffin fired, and they’ll prove it when they force Tommy Turnover into three turnovers.

Upset Alert:

Louisville versus Central Florida


South Carolina @ Tennessee

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